tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Nashville via New York: arrives on time 30%

  1. 14:44 ORF → 16:21 LGA
    DL 5329 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 37m · 61% on time, 17.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:27 LGA → 19:19 BNA
    DL 5002 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 54m · 62% on time, 15.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (17.8% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (15.1% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 37mORF 14:44 to BNA 19:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.