tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Minneapolis via New York: arrives on time 53%

  1. 14:44 ORF → 16:21 LGA
    DL 5329 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 37m · 61% on time, 17.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 44m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:05 LGA → 20:37 MSP
    DL 2015 · Delta · 3h 32m · 83% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 59 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 44m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (17.8% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 53mORF 14:44 to MSP 20:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.