tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Dulles via New York: arrives on time 52%

  1. 11:33 ROC → 12:59 JFK
    DL 5330 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 26m · 81% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 41m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:40 JFK → 18:32 IAD
    DL 5076 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 51m · 62% on time, 12.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 176 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 41m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (12.7% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 58mROC 11:33 to IAD 18:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.