tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Detroit via New York: arrives on time 77%

  1. 11:33 ROC → 12:59 JFK
    DL 5330 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 26m · 81% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:30 JFK → 18:55 DTW
    DL 2443 · Delta · 2h 24m · 83% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 166 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 21mROC 11:33 to DTW 18:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.