tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Nashville via New York: arrives on time 65%

  1. 10:20 ORF → 11:55 LGA
    DL 5333 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 35m · 75% on time, 7.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:55 LGA → 15:26 BNA
    DL 2748 · Delta · 2h 31m · 82% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 06mORF 10:20 to BNA 15:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.