tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Washington via New York: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:04 ORF → 07:30 LGA
    DL 5334 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 28m · 83% on time, 4.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:47 LGA → 12:17 DCA
    AA 4654 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 85% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 13mORF 06:04 to DCA 12:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.