tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Atlanta via Minneapolis: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:35 RIC → 08:40 MSP
    DL 5344 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 3h 05m · 88% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 MSP → 14:05 ATL
    DL 1046 · Delta · 2h 25m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 30mRIC 06:35 to ATL 14:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.