tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:35 RIC → 08:40 MSP
    DL 5344 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 3h 05m · 88% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 MSP → 13:46 LGA
    DL 2764 · Delta · 2h 41m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 11mRIC 06:35 to LGA 13:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.