tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Miami via New York: arrives on time 70%

  1. 07:00 ORF → 08:20 JFK
    DL 5356 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 20m · 86% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:05 JFK → 14:21 MIA
    DL 1514 · Delta · 3h 16m · 78% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 21mORF 07:00 to MIA 14:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.