tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Minneapolis via New York: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:00 ORF → 08:20 JFK
    DL 5356 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 20m · 86% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:33 JFK → 13:50 MSP
    DL 2414 · Delta · 3h 17m · 87% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 50mORF 07:00 to MSP 13:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.