tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Charlotte via New York: arrives on time 41%

  1. 14:30 BUF → 15:58 LGA
    DL 5362 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 28m · 70% on time, 8.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:06 LGA → 19:32 CLT
    DL 5047 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 26m · 68% on time, 9.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (8.9% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (9.9% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 02mBUF 14:30 to CLT 19:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.