tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Detroit via Norfolk: arrives on time 51%

  1. 09:50 JFK → 11:27 ORF
    DL 5370 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 37m · 84% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Norfolk (ORF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:37 ORF → 14:43 DTW
    DL 4653 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 06m · 60% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip4h 53mJFK 09:50 to DTW 14:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.