tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Nashville via New York: arrives on time 64%

  1. 12:07 ORF → 13:44 JFK
    DL 5370 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 37m · 73% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 06m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:50 JFK → 17:47 BNA
    DL 4909 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 57m · 74% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 06m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 40mORF 12:07 to BNA 17:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.