tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Boston via New York: arrives on time 42%

  1. 12:07 ORF → 13:44 JFK
    DL 5370 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 37m · 73% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:30 JFK → 16:08 BOS
    DL 5595 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 38m · 79% on time, 6.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (6.2% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 01mORF 12:07 to BOS 16:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.