tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Detroit via New York: arrives on time 70%

  1. 10:20 BUF → 11:44 LGA
    DL 5376 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 24m · 89% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:55 LGA → 14:51 DTW
    DL 1122 · Delta · 1h 56m · 81% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip4h 31mBUF 10:20 to DTW 14:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.