tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Miami via New York: arrives on time 37%

  1. 17:27 ORF → 19:00 JFK
    DL 5395 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 33m · 71% on time, 9.7% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:52 JFK → 23:33 MIA
    DL 1428 · Delta · 3h 41m · 70% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 1 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (9.7% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 06mORF 17:27 to MIA 23:33, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.