tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

White Plains → Detroit via Atlanta: arrives on time 45%

  1. 16:29 HPN → 18:53 ATL
    DL 5405 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 24m · 51% on time, 9.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 58m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:51 ATL → 22:54 DTW
    DL 1232 · Delta · 2h 03m · 68% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 73 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 58m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (9.1% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 25mHPN 16:29 to DTW 22:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.