tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:08 DSM → 08:59 DTW
    DL 5414 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 51m · 88% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 16m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:15 DTW → 14:00 LGA
    DL 1669 · Delta · 1h 45m · 76% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 151 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 16m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 52mDSM 06:08 to LGA 14:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.