tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Philadelphia via Detroit: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:08 DSM → 08:59 DTW
    DL 5414 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 51m · 88% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 DTW → 11:46 PHL
    DL 2331 · Delta · 1h 39m · 89% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 41mDSM 06:08 to PHL 11:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.