tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Washington via Detroit: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:08 DSM → 08:59 DTW
    DL 5414 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 51m · 88% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 DTW → 11:34 DCA
    DL 2476 · Delta · 1h 29m · 87% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip4h 26mDSM 06:08 to DCA 11:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.