tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Las Vegas via Detroit: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:08 DSM → 08:59 DTW
    DL 5414 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 51m · 88% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 19m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:18 DTW → 13:36 LAS
    DL 421 · Delta · 4h 17m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 154 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 19m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip9h 27mDSM 06:08 to LAS 13:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.