tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Philadelphia via Detroit: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:08 DSM → 08:59 DTW
    DL 5414 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 51m · 88% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 59m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:58 DTW → 14:40 PHL
    AA 5530 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 41m · 83% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 59m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 31mDSM 06:08 to PHL 14:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.