tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:08 DSM → 08:59 DTW
    DL 5414 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 51m · 88% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 DTW → 10:50 ORD
    DL 3673 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 42mDSM 06:08 to ORD 10:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.