tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Fort Lauderdale via New York: arrives on time 70%

  1. 10:00 BUF → 11:24 JFK
    DL 5426 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 24m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 56m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:20 JFK → 18:44 FLL
    DL 1419 · Delta · 3h 24m · 75% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 191 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 56m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 44mBUF 10:00 to FLL 18:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.