tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Tampa via New York: arrives on time 72%

  1. 10:00 BUF → 11:24 JFK
    DL 5426 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 24m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 16m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:40 JFK → 17:51 TPA
    DL 2093 · Delta · 3h 11m · 79% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 151 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 16m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 51mBUF 10:00 to TPA 17:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.