tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Los Angeles via New York: arrives on time 76%

  1. 10:00 BUF → 11:24 JFK
    DL 5426 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 24m · 90% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 16m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:40 JFK → 16:38 LAX
    DL 747 · Delta · 6h 02m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 91 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 16m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 42mBUF 10:00 to LAX 16:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.