tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Cleveland via New York: arrives on time 42%

  1. 12:40 BNA → 16:17 LGA
    DL 5438 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 36m · 73% on time, 5.5% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:14 LGA → 19:19 CLE
    DL 5194 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 05m · 66% on time, 6.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (5.5% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (6.1% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 39mBNA 12:40 to CLE 19:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.