tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Los Angeles via Nashville: arrives on time 79%

  1. 10:30 LGA → 12:00 BNA
    DL 5438 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 34m · 78% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:59 BNA → 17:12 LAX
    DL 355 · Delta · 4h 22m · 84% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 134 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip9h 51mLGA 10:30 to LAX 17:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.