tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Greensboro → Washington via New York: arrives on time 17%

  1. 18:32 GSO → 20:20 LGA
    DL 5439 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 46m · 47% on time, 30.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 LGA → 22:55 DCA
    DL 1825 · Delta · 1h 30m · 47% on time, 6.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (30.2% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (6.2% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip4h 23mGSO 18:32 to DCA 22:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.