tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chattanooga → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 58%

  1. 08:24 CHA → 09:27 ATL
    DL 5448 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 04m · 69% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 ATL → 12:44 LGA
    DL 371 · Delta · 2h 14m · 86% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 20mCHA 08:24 to LGA 12:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.