tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 61%

  1. 06:00 RIC → 07:55 DTW
    DL 5453 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 55m · 83% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:50 DTW → 09:14 MDW
    DL 4684 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 24m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Richmond). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 14mRIC 06:00 to MDW 09:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.