tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Minneapolis via Detroit: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:00 RIC → 07:55 DTW
    DL 5453 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 55m · 83% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 DTW → 09:55 MSP
    DL 2258 · Delta · 1h 55m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Richmond). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip4h 55mRIC 06:00 to MSP 09:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.