tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 RIC → 07:55 DTW
    DL 5453 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 55m · 83% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 DTW → 11:59 JFK
    DL 2751 · Delta · 1h 49m · 91% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 59mRIC 06:00 to JFK 11:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.