tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Washington via New York: arrives on time 34%

  1. 17:35 TYS → 19:44 LGA
    DL 5455 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 09m · 74% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 41m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 LGA → 22:55 DCA
    DL 1825 · Delta · 1h 30m · 47% on time, 6.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 56 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 41m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (6.2% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip5h 20mTYS 17:35 to DCA 22:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.