tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Minneapolis via Detroit: arrives on time 47%

  1. 16:00 CVG → 17:17 DTW
    DL 5456 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 17m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 DTW → 19:08 MSP
    DL 1842 · Delta · 1h 58m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip4h 08mCVG 16:00 to MSP 19:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.