tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Los Angeles via Detroit: arrives on time 56%

  1. 16:00 CVG → 17:17 DTW
    DL 5456 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 17m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:20 DTW → 20:12 LAX
    DL 852 · Delta · 4h 52m · 80% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 12mCVG 16:00 to LAX 20:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.