Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Nashville via New York: arrives on time 24%

  1. 15:59 JAX → 18:28 LGA
    DL 5461 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 29m · 61% on time, 9.1% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:15 LGA → 21:00 BNA
    DL 4723 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 45m · 63% on time, 20.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Jacksonville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (9.1% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (20.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 01mJAX 15:59 to BNA 21:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.