tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Houston via Minneapolis: arrives on time 60%

  1. 07:22 ORF → 09:29 MSP
    DL 5464 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 3h 07m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:24 MSP → 13:15 IAH
    DL 2673 · Delta · 2h 53m · 79% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 55mORF 07:22 to IAH 13:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.