tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Denver via Minneapolis: arrives on time 74%

  1. 07:22 ORF → 09:29 MSP
    DL 5464 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 3h 07m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 MSP → 12:10 DEN
    DL 2927 · Delta · 2h 10m · 84% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 48mORF 07:22 to DEN 12:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.