tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 09:54 MDW → 11:35 MSP
    DL 5469 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 41m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:53 MSP → 17:00 JFK
    DL 2661 · Delta · 3h 07m · 84% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 06mMDW 09:54 to JFK 17:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.