tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 71%

  1. 09:54 MDW → 11:35 MSP
    DL 5469 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 41m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:00 MSP → 16:45 LGA
    DL 2756 · Delta · 2h 45m · 77% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 51mMDW 09:54 to LGA 16:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.