tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Washington via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 09:54 MDW → 11:35 MSP
    DL 5469 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 41m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 03m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:38 MSP → 18:09 DCA
    DL 2963 · Delta · 2h 31m · 77% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 03m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 15mMDW 09:54 to DCA 18:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.