tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Hebron via Minneapolis: arrives on time 78%

  1. 09:54 MDW → 11:35 MSP
    DL 5469 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 41m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:50 MSP → 15:40 CVG
    DL 3113 · Delta · 1h 50m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 46mMDW 09:54 to CVG 15:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.