tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → San Francisco via Minneapolis: arrives on time 73%

  1. 09:54 MDW → 11:35 MSP
    DL 5469 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 41m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 32m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:07 MSP → 17:14 SFO
    DL 756 · Delta · 4h 06m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 167 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 32m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip9h 19mMDW 09:54 to SFO 17:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.