tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Grand Rapids via Minneapolis: arrives on time 68%

  1. 09:54 MDW → 11:35 MSP
    DL 5469 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 41m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:55 MSP → 15:25 GRR
    DL 3865 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 76% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Grand Rapids is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 31mMDW 09:54 to GRR 15:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.