tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 56%

  1. 13:22 MKE → 15:37 DTW
    DL 5476 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 16m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 33m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 DTW → 22:16 JFK
    DL 1316 · Delta · 2h 03m · 62% on time, 6.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Milwaukee). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 228 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 33m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (6.3% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip7h 51mMKE 13:22 to JFK 22:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.