tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Phoenix via Detroit: arrives on time 76%

  1. 08:14 CVG → 09:30 DTW
    DL 5479 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 17m · 85% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 18m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:48 DTW → 13:55 PHX
    DL 813 · Delta · 4h 07m · 80% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 153 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 18m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 41mCVG 08:14 to PHX 13:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.