tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Phoenix via Minneapolis: arrives on time 73%

  1. 18:13 MSN → 19:30 MSP
    DL 5480 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 19m · 65% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:35 MSP → 21:52 PHX
    DL 1448 · Delta · 3h 30m · 83% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 52mMSN 18:13 to PHX 21:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.