tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Miami via New York: arrives on time 53%

  1. 11:12 XNA → 15:14 LGA
    DL 5482 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 3h 02m · 79% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 36m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 LGA → 21:21 MIA
    DL 1620 · Delta · 3h 31m · 58% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 111 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 36m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip9h 09mXNA 11:12 to MIA 21:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.