tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Atlanta via New York: arrives on time 43%

  1. 11:12 XNA → 15:14 LGA
    DL 5482 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 3h 02m · 79% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 LGA → 18:48 ATL
    DL 969 · Delta · 2h 48m · 70% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 36mXNA 11:12 to ATL 18:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.